Without adjustment on the home front, we believe that President Donald Trump's push to reduce the trade deficit is unlikely to improve the US trade balance, or boost domestic employment and growth. However, his outspoken approach and questioning of the prevailing trade system may be the very jolt that global trade negotiators need to update their thinking and move ahead with a constantly changing global economy and patterns of trade.
Will President Donald Trump be successful at reducing the US trade deficit through imposing tariffs? Can he boost US employment and growth this way? What is the best – and most likely – response of US trade partners to ad hoc US trade policy? And can something good come out of this? I'm discussing all this – and more – in the recent OMFIF podcast.
The first quarter of 2018 saw companies around the world report very strong earnings growth, but the market wasn’t interested, focusing on the outlook and risks that lie ahead. What should investors make of this?