Even though tensions in the Middle East have helped pep up prices of late, the shale revolution has brought down medium-term risks to oil prices and dramatically reduced future price expectations.
The new political paradigm has thrown up another populist government in Italy, threatening the European project. Meanwhile in the US, could "Operation Twist Again" come into play as investors stress about ever-flatter yield curves?
The long-end of the US yield curve is at its flattest for over a decade, risking distortions in the economy as the Fed raises rates. If this continues, at what point will the central bank get its dancing shoes on and consider Operation 'Twist Again'?
With the European Central Bank spelling out monetary policy for the next eighteen months, they could be a victim of developments elsewhere. Against a backdrop of slowing Eurozone growth and lacklustre inflation, the US seems likely to hike several times and increase Treasury supply by over $1 trillion, potentially tightening global credit conditions significantly and leaving Europe exposed.
The temperature's roasting and the Turkish economy is under the spotlight. With President Erdoğan fighting financial markets, the contagion is spreading fast. So which parts are overdone and are there any tempting morsels worth trying? Here are our latest thoughts from Bloomberg TV.
With US inflation picking up much more slowly than expected in recent years, markets seem to be ignoring the cyclical risks. We think that's a mistake and one that could come back to bite investors. Here's a chance to find out why and what we're doing about it...
Understanding how the mind can help or hinder investment success is a cornerstone of fund management and helps me in everyday life too. One of my idols, Daniel Kahneman, said the aim should be to make it part of everyday chats, so we've recorded an episode for our podcast where we try to do just that.